0x11a5645C73d75AF5D0cEf807f1C29FDcc48B4032-1735839761387

0x11a564...8b4032

Smart Score

Win Rate

24.7%

Total P&L

+$2.3K

Trade Count

536

Sharpe Ratio

0.23

Sortino Ratio

58.39

Max Drawdown

63.8%

ROI

75.7%

Profit Factor

49.33

Kelly Fraction

0.242

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

057.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	2.9¢	345.69	Jan 24
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	2.9¢	349.912	Jan 24
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	6.2¢	806.452	Jan 24
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	BUY	0.3¢	3,333.333	Jan 24
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?	BUY	27.0¢	185.185	Jan 14
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?	BUY	57.7¢	86.724	Jan 14
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	BUY	13.2¢	756.02	Jan 7
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	BUY	42.9¢	233.083	Jan 7
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?	BUY	11.7¢	853.125	Dec 2
Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives in 2025?	BUY	4.7¢	2,127.66	Aug 9
Will Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup?	SELL	93.0¢	288.18	Jul 13
Will Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup?	BUY	34.7¢	288.184	Jul 13
Will Olympique Lyon play in Ligue 1?	BUY	41.1¢	243.218	Jul 1
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2025 Drivers Champion?	SELL	0.1¢	65	Jul 1
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2025 Drivers Champion?	SELL	0.1¢	65	Jul 1
Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?	SELL	0.3¢	5	Jul 1
Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2025 National League Championship?	SELL	0.1¢	19.54	Jul 1
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2025?	SELL	0.5¢	2.632	May 13
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?	BUY	29.0¢	344.828	May 9
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?	BUY	28.0¢	357.143	May 8

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active57.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.16

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)52.2%

Win Consistency38.1%

Profit Factor1.49

Drawdown Resilience1.21

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.21

Weekly Sharpe est.0.92

Trading Activity29 trades · 16 active days