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0x1e77401bB590f95C1202e4FC65D4028c09C5C65f-1761894302097

0x1e7740...c5c65f@AAAbaghodler
Smart Score
7
Win Rate
55.6%
Total P&L
-$1.9K
Trade Count
143
Sharpe Ratio
-0.25
Sortino Ratio
-0.25
Max Drawdown
1523.0%
ROI
-2.5%
Profit Factor
0.68
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
06.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY62.0¢900Mar 4
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?BUY87.0¢257.48Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY62.0¢1,610Mar 4
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY72.0¢11.65Mar 4
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?BUY79.0¢600Mar 4
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?BUY77.0¢22.22Mar 4
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?BUY77.0¢15Mar 4
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY72.0¢77.714Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?BUY79.0¢200Mar 4
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?BUY80.0¢100Mar 4
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY72.0¢110.63Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY61.6¢1,700Mar 4
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?SELL71.3¢1,028Mar 3
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY66.0¢800Mar 3
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY10.0¢200Mar 3
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?BUY51.0¢200Mar 3
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?BUY70.0¢500Mar 2
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?BUY69.0¢16Mar 2
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?BUY69.0¢512Mar 2
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL17.6¢1,111.11Feb 23

Analytics

Unlock full analytics on Accrue
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%6%< 10%6%10–20%6%20–30%4%30–50%27%50–70%13%70–80%12%80–90%25%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing6.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.37
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)6.2%
Win Consistency60.6%
Profit Factor0.18
Drawdown Resilience0.14
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.14
Weekly Sharpe est.0.11
Trading Activity143 trades · 40 active days
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