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0x2772f2...5ae6c7

0x2772f2...5ae6c7
Smart Score
22
Win Rate
11.1%
Total P&L
-$4
Trade Count
20
Sharpe Ratio
1.60
Sortino Ratio
35.19
Max Drawdown
87.4%
ROI
-12.2%
Profit Factor
0.72
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
022.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY11.8¢8.475Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY13.4¢14.925Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY2.7¢37.037Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY2.3¢43.478Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?BUY1.9¢52.632Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026?BUY7.0¢20Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026?BUY4.3¢46.591Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?SELL9.0¢10Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?BUY10.0¢10Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?BUY10.0¢10Mar 4
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut on March 5, 2026?BUY9.0¢11.111Mar 4
Will another country recognize Somaliland by March 31?BUY7.0¢14.286Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY2.9¢34.333Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?BUY9.5¢10.526Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?SELL31.0¢37.03Mar 3
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?BUY7.0¢14.286Mar 1
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?BUY6.0¢16.667Mar 1
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?BUY3.5¢28.571Mar 1
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?BUY1.9¢105.263Mar 1
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY2.7¢37.037Mar 1

Analytics

Unlock full analytics on Accrue
Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%78%< 10%22%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing22.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.22
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)20.1%
Win Consistency16.7%
Profit Factor0.57
Drawdown Resilience0.46
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.46
Weekly Sharpe est.0.35
Trading Activity20 trades · 4 active days
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P&L Calendar
$91d profit3d loss
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