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0x3175df...c18a69

0x3175df...c18a69
Smart Score
23
Win Rate
80.0%
Total P&L
+$102
Trade Count
704
Sharpe Ratio
-0.37
Sortino Ratio
-0.47
Max Drawdown
339.4%
ROI
2.2%
Profit Factor
2.02
Kelly Fraction
0.404
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
022.5/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?BUY70.0¢24.986Mar 5
US strikes Iraq by March 7?BUY30.0¢3.667Mar 5
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 6, 2026?BUY98.0¢24.816Mar 5
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 8, 2026?BUY97.5¢5.846Mar 4
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 2, 2026?SELL99.4¢36.99Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by February 28?SELL99.9¢93.37Mar 4
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 3, 2026?SELL98.6¢28.83Mar 4
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 1, 2026?SELL99.5¢69.94Mar 4
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 1, 2026?SELL99.2¢54.27Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?BUY65.0¢2Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?BUY92.0¢24.098Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?BUY93.0¢29.925Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?BUY73.0¢1.507Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?BUY73.0¢1.507Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?BUY73.0¢13.411Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?BUY60.8¢8.723Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?BUY70.0¢1.771Mar 4
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 3, 2026?BUY98.0¢7.061Mar 4
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 3, 2026?BUY98.2¢15.855Mar 4
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 3, 2026?BUY98.0¢2.082Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%9%30–50%10%50–70%5%70–80%25%80–90%49%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing22.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.24
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)20.5%
Win Consistency65.4%
Profit Factor0.59
Drawdown Resilience0.47
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.47
Weekly Sharpe est.0.36
Trading Activity704 trades · 17 active days
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