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0x32938F789Db75F92E041523875D7bA3DE4653335-1770126851734

0x32938f...653335
Smart Score
30
Win Rate
44.0%
Total P&L
-$42
Trade Count
276
Sharpe Ratio
1.56
Sortino Ratio
22.14
Max Drawdown
402.0%
ROI
-4.3%
Profit Factor
0.62
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
029.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETBUY50.0¢2Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY42.0¢11.905Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?SELL44.0¢30.76Mar 2
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?BUY65.0¢30.769Mar 1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?SELL58.3¢15.85Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY63.1¢15.855Feb 28
Solana Up or Down - February 25, 7:45AM-8:00AM ETSELL5.0¢6.22Feb 25
Solana Up or Down - February 25, 7:45AM-8:00AM ETBUY16.0¢6.25Feb 25
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 7:45AM-8:00AM ETSELL45.0¢2.46Feb 25
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 7:45AM-8:00AM ETBUY40.0¢2.5Feb 25
Ethereum Up or Down - February 25, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETSELL2.0¢2.09Feb 25
Ethereum Up or Down - February 25, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETBUY47.0¢2.128Feb 25
XRP Up or Down - February 25, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETSELL22.0¢5.52Feb 25
XRP Up or Down - February 25, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETBUY18.0¢5.556Feb 25
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETSELL49.0¢4.58Feb 25
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETBUY43.0¢2.326Feb 25
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETSELL60.0¢2.09Feb 25
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETBUY43.0¢2.326Feb 25
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETBUY47.0¢2.128Feb 25
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?BUY58.0¢34.483Feb 22

Analytics

Unlock full analytics on Accrue
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%9%< 10%11%10–20%5%20–30%34%30–50%16%50–70%7%70–80%8%80–90%9%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing29.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.63
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)26.9%
Win Consistency65.3%
Profit Factor0.77
Drawdown Resilience0.62
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.62
Weekly Sharpe est.0.47
Trading Activity276 trades · 13 active days
MarAprMayJunJul