0x38245f510D9796198c350AcdeE4FfC68c12f09A3-1769745193839

0x38245f...2f09a3
Smart Score
20
Win Rate
7.7%
Total P&L
-$98
Trade Count
221
Sharpe Ratio
1.13
Sortino Ratio
188.28
Max Drawdown
97.2%
ROI
-22.2%
Profit Factor
0.61
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
020.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY5.5¢36.364Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY5.6¢17.857Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY1.7¢58.67Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY1.7¢58.824Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY5.6¢17.857Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY11.0¢9.091Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY0.2¢500Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY0.3¢333.333Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY0.3¢333.333Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY0.1¢1,000Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY0.2¢636.605Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY1.0¢100Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY0.3¢333.333Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY0.1¢1,000Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY5.8¢17.241Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY12.8¢7.813Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY11.7¢8.547Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY12.7¢7.874Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY30.9¢3.236Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY12.7¢7.874Mar 5
Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%88%< 10%6%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing20.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.12
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)18.6%
Win Consistency39.7%
Profit Factor0.53
Drawdown Resilience0.43
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.43
Weekly Sharpe est.0.33
Trading Activity221 trades · 13 active days