0x38ad28...55b263

0x38ad28...55b263
Smart Score
36
Win Rate
34.3%
Total P&L
+$177
Trade Count
80
Sharpe Ratio
1.54
Sortino Ratio
7.87
Max Drawdown
3123.1%
ROI
51.3%
Profit Factor
3.63
Kelly Fraction
0.248
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
035.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 5?BUY19.2¢18.221Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on March 5?BUY2.9¢120.69Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 5?BUY56.0¢6.25Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 5?BUY10.0¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C or below on March 7?BUY7.0¢50Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on March 5?BUY6.0¢15.12Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 5?BUY53.1¢6.593Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 5?BUY9.0¢38.889Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on March 5?BUY5.1¢50Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on March 5?SELL1.0¢42.27Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on March 5?BUY3.2¢109.602Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on March 5?SELL1.0¢10.31Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 72°F or higher on March 6?SELL18.0¢51.3Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on March 5?BUY19.1¢18.3Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on March 5?SELL1.0¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on March 5?SELL1.0¢6Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on March 5?SELL1.0¢172.79Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 5?BUY16.0¢21.875Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 5?SELL15.0¢49.04Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on March 5?BUY2.9¢120.69Mar 4
Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%29%< 10%24%10–20%25%20–30%10%30–50%12%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing35.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.96
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)32.4%
Win Consistency40.0%
Profit Factor0.93
Drawdown Resilience0.75
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.75
Weekly Sharpe est.0.57
Trading Activity80 trades · 5 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSu