0x40239502bbbd4223eD40879007A6EC7cF2ee2d8C-1772201946073

0x402395...ee2d8c

Smart Score

Win Rate

31.6%

Total P&L

+$8

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

2.73

Sortino Ratio

42.56

Max Drawdown

264.3%

ROI

10.5%

Profit Factor

1.77

Kelly Fraction

0.138

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

036.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	SELL	11.0¢	2.58	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	BUY	26.0¢	3.846	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	BUY	4.5¢	22.222	Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	85.0¢	1.66	Mar 4
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	2.7¢	13.09	Mar 3
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	0.6¢	25.18	Mar 3
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	BUY	21.0¢	4.762	Mar 3
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March?	BUY	8.0¢	12.5	Mar 3
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?	BUY	17.0¢	5.882	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	SELL	61.1¢	2.46	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	BUY	40.0¢	2.5	Mar 3
Will Bill Clinton's remarks not air?	SELL	0.5¢	111.11	Mar 3
Will Bill Clinton's remarks not air?	BUY	0.9¢	111.111	Mar 2
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	60.0¢	1.667	Mar 2
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	SELL	5.0¢	7.69	Mar 2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	BUY	3.0¢	33.333	Mar 2
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	8.2¢	11.85	Mar 2
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	13.0¢	7.692	Mar 1
Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	2.5¢	31.25	Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	BUY	7.0¢	14.286	Mar 1

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing36.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.01

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)33.2%

Win Consistency47.4%

Profit Factor0.95

Drawdown Resilience0.77

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.77

Weekly Sharpe est.0.58

Trading Activity42 trades · 7 active days