0x53CBeD0FcC32D4aB671Fcd958c569336c2eb12f5-1765546617109

0x53cbed...eb12f5

Smart Score

Win Rate

98.6%

Total P&L

+$2

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-1.38

Sortino Ratio

-1.29

Max Drawdown

202420.9%

ROI

0.3%

Profit Factor

88.71

Kelly Fraction

0.975

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

026.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	99.6¢	21.968	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C or higher on March 4?	BUY	99.9¢	10.661	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on March 3?	BUY	99.9¢	10.65	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 73°F or below on March 3?	BUY	99.9¢	10.64	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	10.621	Mar 2
Zhang Youxia seen in public by February 28?	BUY	99.9¢	10.6	Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	10.59	Feb 27
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 40-41°F on February 27?	BUY	99.9¢	10.58	Feb 26
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on February 26?	BUY	99.9¢	10.571	Feb 26
Will Jensen Huang attend the 2026 State of the Union address?	BUY	99.9¢	10.561	Feb 24
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 47°F or below on February 22?	BUY	99.9¢	10.55	Feb 21
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on February 22?	BUY	99.9¢	10.54	Feb 21
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C or below on February 21?	BUY	99.9¢	10.531	Feb 20
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 79°F or below on February 20?	BUY	99.9¢	10.52	Feb 20
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 8°C on February 20?	BUY	99.9¢	10.51	Feb 20
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on February 19?	BUY	99.9¢	10.5	Feb 19
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on February 19?	BUY	99.9¢	10.49	Feb 19
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on February 18?	BUY	99.9¢	10.48	Feb 18
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on February 18?	BUY	99.9¢	10.47	Feb 18
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -3°C on February 18?	BUY	99.9¢	10.46	Feb 17

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing26.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.44

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.8%

Win Consistency13.7%

Profit Factor0.68

Drawdown Resilience0.55

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.55

Weekly Sharpe est.0.42

Trading Activity73 trades · 45 active days