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0x7d950D482521651A45070f2aF5B670c722ef7861-1772397755815

0x7d950d...ef7861
Smart Score
55
Win Rate
40.5%
Total P&L
-$5
Trade Count
73
Sharpe Ratio
3.36
Sortino Ratio
19.12
Max Drawdown
47.0%
ROI
-3.7%
Profit Factor
0.79
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
054.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY21.4¢9.486Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY25.0¢14Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY42.4¢11.792Mar 5
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?SELL93.1¢7.78Mar 5
Will Leavitt say "Healthcare" during the next White House Press Briefing?SELL4.0¢5.34Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?SELL84.1¢0.96Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?SELL79.7¢0.95Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?SELL79.5¢1.9Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY64.0¢2.109Mar 4
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?SELL64.1¢1.51Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY58.6¢1.706Mar 4
XRP Up or Down - March 4, 7AM ETBUY35.0¢2.857Mar 4
Will Leavitt say "Healthcare" during the next White House Press Briefing?BUY28.1¢5.345Mar 4
Will Leavitt say "Illegal Alien" during the next White House Press Briefing?BUY52.0¢2.885Mar 4
Will Starmer say "Artificial Intelligence" or "AI" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?BUY30.0¢5Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?BUY28.0¢14.286Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?BUY38.0¢13.158Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?BUY19.2¢15.625Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?SELL83.5¢6.77Mar 3
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?SELL70.9¢7.77Mar 3

Analytics

Unlock full analytics on Accrue
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%9%< 10%13%10–20%17%20–30%39%30–50%17%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing54.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.01
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)49.8%
Win Consistency54.0%
Profit Factor1.42
Drawdown Resilience1.15
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.15
Weekly Sharpe est.0.88
Trading Activity73 trades · 4 active days
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