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0x8e6fe71a76D3368a4ca24dF4dF34e5193Ea467E3-1772228015915

0x8e6fe7...a467e3
Smart Score
56
Win Rate
53.8%
Total P&L
+$5.8K
Trade Count
517
Sharpe Ratio
2.10
Sortino Ratio
64.06
Max Drawdown
93.3%
ROI
55.1%
Profit Factor
19.15
Kelly Fraction
0.510
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
056.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?SELL7.5¢284.03Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?SELL7.6¢38.553Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?SELL7.6¢1,315.789Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?SELL7.6¢38.96Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?SELL7.7¢30Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?SELL7.7¢20Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?SELL7.7¢14.03Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?SELL7.7¢14.03Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?SELL7.7¢14.03Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?SELL7.7¢14.03Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?SELL7.7¢13.47Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 10, 2026?BUY1.4¢25Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 13, 2026?BUY1.2¢25Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 13, 2026?BUY1.2¢123.59Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 9, 2026?BUY3.0¢123.59Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 10, 2026?BUY1.4¢100Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 9, 2026?BUY3.0¢25Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 10, 2026?BUY1.4¢123.59Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 11, 2026?BUY2.0¢16.92Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 13, 2026?BUY1.2¢100Mar 5

Analytics

Unlock full analytics on Accrue
Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%81%< 10%10%10–20%4%20–30%3%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Active56.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.10
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)51.3%
Win Consistency56.7%
Profit Factor1.47
Drawdown Resilience1.18
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.18
Weekly Sharpe est.0.90
Trading Activity517 trades · 7 active days
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