0x9a3169...7e04cb

0x9a3169...7e04cb
Smart Score
40
Win Rate
77.8%
Total P&L
+$6
Trade Count
77
Sharpe Ratio
3.03
Sortino Ratio
2.42
Max Drawdown
120.3%
ROI
0.0%
Profit Factor
2.18
Kelly Fraction
0.422
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
039.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?SELL94.5¢2,128Mar 5
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?BUY94.5¢1,268Mar 5
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?BUY94.5¢860Mar 5
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?SELL1.0¢3,801.7Mar 4
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?SELL1.0¢268.3Mar 4
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?BUY1.1¢1,723.4Mar 4
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?BUY1.1¢2,346.6Mar 4
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL97.9¢1,825Mar 4
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL97.9¢45.21Mar 4
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY97.9¢1,871Mar 4
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL79.6¢20Mar 4
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL79.6¢2,285Mar 4
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY78.6¢2,305Mar 3
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL98.3¢2,027Mar 3
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY98.3¢2,027Mar 3
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL98.7¢264Mar 2
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL98.7¢1,571Mar 2
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY98.7¢1,835Mar 2
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL98.5¢2,023Mar 2
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY98.5¢2,023Mar 2
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%43%< 10%6%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%6%70–80%80–90%46%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing39.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.18
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)36.0%
Win Consistency68.4%
Profit Factor1.03
Drawdown Resilience0.83
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.83
Weekly Sharpe est.0.63
Trading Activity77 trades · 13 active days
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P&L Calendar
+$14d profit7d loss
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