0xaa3c51...0761e2

Smart Score

Win Rate

51.7%

Total P&L

+$758

Trade Count

1,511

Sharpe Ratio

1.35

Sortino Ratio

12.18

Max Drawdown

116.0%

ROI

10.9%

Profit Factor

1.85

Kelly Fraction

0.237

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

037.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	SELL	8.0¢	3.19	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	16.0¢	6.25	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	SELL	16.0¢	24.99	Mar 5
BNP Paribas Open: Michael Zheng vs Arthur Cazaux	SELL	49.0¢	2.34	Mar 5
BNP Paribas Open: Michael Zheng vs Arthur Cazaux	SELL	50.0¢	5.94	Mar 5
BNP Paribas Open: Michael Zheng vs Arthur Cazaux	BUY	49.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?	BUY	73.5¢	5.21	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?	BUY	65.1¢	5	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?	BUY	63.8¢	5	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?	SELL	34.1¢	5.05	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?	BUY	19.8¢	5.06	Mar 4
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 5, 2026?	BUY	12.0¢	10.09	Mar 4
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 5, 2026?	BUY	15.0¢	6.67	Mar 4
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut on March 5, 2026?	BUY	98.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut on March 5, 2026?	BUY	98.0¢	5.85	Mar 4
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 4, 2026?	BUY	1.9¢	42.93	Mar 4
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 4, 2026?	BUY	1.9¢	9.86	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	41.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	41.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	46.0¢	5	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing37.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.07

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)34.2%

Win Consistency59.1%

Profit Factor0.98

Drawdown Resilience0.79

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.79

Weekly Sharpe est.0.60

Trading Activity1,511 trades · 37 active days