0xabf0b1...a2da21

Smart Score

Win Rate

38.3%

Total P&L

-$24.4K

Trade Count

991

Sharpe Ratio

0.65

Sortino Ratio

3.09

Max Drawdown

333.0%

ROI

-26.8%

Profit Factor

0.25

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

04.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	BUY	53.0¢	1,191.37	Mar 1
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	BUY	53.0¢	108.622	Mar 1
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026?	SELL	13.9¢	1,000	Mar 1
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?	SELL	38.0¢	1,547.59	Mar 1
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?	BUY	56.0¢	363.34	Feb 9
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?	BUY	56.0¢	6.66	Feb 9
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?	BUY	45.0¢	92.727	Feb 8
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?	BUY	45.0¢	2.036	Feb 8
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?	BUY	45.0¢	1.818	Feb 8
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?	BUY	45.0¢	2.036	Feb 8
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?	BUY	45.0¢	2.036	Feb 8
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?	BUY	45.0¢	2.036	Feb 8
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?	BUY	45.0¢	250	Feb 8
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?	BUY	45.0¢	2.036	Feb 8
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?	BUY	45.0¢	163.182	Feb 8
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?	BUY	45.0¢	2.036	Feb 8
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?	BUY	45.0¢	2.036	Feb 8
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?	BUY	45.0¢	170	Feb 8
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?	BUY	45.0¢	10	Feb 8
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?	BUY	45.0¢	27.273	Feb 8

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing4.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.26

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)4.4%

Win Consistency52.3%

Profit Factor0.12

Drawdown Resilience0.10

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.10

Weekly Sharpe est.0.08

Trading Activity991 trades · 62 active days