0xad1b27...12ba8b

Smart Score

Win Rate

60.0%

Total P&L

+$24

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

1.33

Sortino Ratio

7.20

Max Drawdown

4.5%

ROI

9.6%

Profit Factor

11.43

Kelly Fraction

0.547

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

076.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy	SELL	26.0¢	100	Mar 5
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY	74.0¢	13.514	Feb 28
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY	1.5¢	66.667	Feb 28
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?	BUY	92.0¢	9.217	Feb 10
Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?	SELL	99.7¢	8.51	Feb 10
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	BUY	88.0¢	7.864	Feb 4
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy	BUY	20.0¢	100	Feb 2
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy	SELL	70.0¢	38.46	Feb 2
Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?	BUY	82.0¢	8.512	Jan 27
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	BUY	58.0¢	17.241	Jan 25
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	BUY	97.3¢	15.416	Jan 25
Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	8.5¢	58.824	Jan 22
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	SELL	96.4¢	33.15	Jan 20
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	SELL	99.9¢	5	Jan 20
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	BUY	85.8¢	8.159	Jan 19
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?	BUY	84.3¢	5.931	Jan 19
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy	BUY	26.0¢	38.462	Jan 19
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-01-16?	BUY	83.0¢	16.867	Jan 16
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?	BUY	98.3¢	5.086	Jan 16
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	BUY	75.4¢	33.156	Jan 16

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Pro76.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)4.20

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)69.4%

Win Consistency62.5%

Profit Factor1.98

Drawdown Resilience1.60

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.60

Weekly Sharpe est.1.22

Trading Activity21 trades · 11 active days

P&L Calendar

$553d profit7d loss