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0xbfe2ca...6c8c49

0xbfe2ca...6c8c49
Smart Score
38
Win Rate
45.0%
Total P&L
+$9.2K
Trade Count
153
Sharpe Ratio
0.61
Sortino Ratio
1.89
Max Drawdown
199.8%
ROI
16.4%
Profit Factor
11.78
Kelly Fraction
0.412
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
037.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?BUY79.1¢1,263.49Mar 5
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?BUY78.1¢1,280.463Mar 3
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?BUY78.0¢1,282.051Mar 3
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?BUY77.4¢1,292.21Mar 3
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?BUY76.7¢1,303.057Mar 3
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?BUY76.2¢1,181.364Mar 3
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?BUY74.8¢5,350.902Mar 2
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?BUY68.6¢1,113.01Mar 2
North Korea missile launch by February 28?BUY71.3¢98.089Feb 27
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?SELL5.1¢38.15Feb 27
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?SELL40.8¢166.81Feb 27
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?BUY60.0¢166.817Feb 26
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETBUY58.0¢17.241Feb 25
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETSELL55.3¢27.05Feb 25
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETBUY73.2¢27.314Feb 25
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ETSELL99.0¢61.85Feb 25
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ETBUY65.0¢30.769Feb 25
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ETBUY62.6¢31.924Feb 25
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL16.0¢588.24Feb 25
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?BUY39.0¢38.154Feb 25

Analytics

Unlock full analytics on Accrue
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%5%< 10%4%10–20%20–30%9%30–50%24%50–70%48%70–80%80–90%6%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing37.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.08
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)34.4%
Win Consistency45.5%
Profit Factor0.98
Drawdown Resilience0.79
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.79
Weekly Sharpe est.0.60
Trading Activity153 trades · 30 active days
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P&L Calendar
$46,3884d profit25d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSu