0xc22b90...87d318

Smart Score

Win Rate

40.0%

Total P&L

-$426

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.60

Sortino Ratio

9.22

Max Drawdown

136.1%

ROI

-6.9%

Profit Factor

0.51

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

023/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	BUY	27.0¢	37.037	Mar 5
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	SELL	76.0¢	119.04	Feb 19
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	BUY	84.0¢	119.048	Feb 18
Aztec FDV above $300M one day after launch?	SELL	26.9¢	41.5	Feb 13
Aztec FDV above $300M one day after launch?	BUY	31.5¢	20	Feb 13
Aztec FDV above $300M one day after launch?	BUY	31.9¢	63	Feb 13
Aztec FDV above $150M one day after launch?	BUY	38.0¢	100	Feb 11
Aztec FDV above $150M one day after launch?	BUY	33.0¢	1,300	Feb 11
Aztec FDV above $150M one day after launch?	BUY	30.1¢	414.636	Feb 11
Rainbow FDV above $30M one day after launch?	BUY	5.0¢	6.53	Feb 6
Will Claude 5 be released by February 6, 2026?	SELL	99.7¢	126.2	Feb 6
Will Claude 5 be released by February 6, 2026?	BUY	85.0¢	126.165	Feb 5
Will Claude 5 be released by February 6, 2026?	BUY	84.0¢	0.04	Feb 5
Sentient FDV above $400M one day after launch?	SELL	2.9¢	302.45	Jan 22
Sentient FDV above $400M one day after launch?	BUY	16.7¢	106.45	Jan 21
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	5.0¢	154	Jan 14
Over $15M committed to the Trove public sale?	SELL	0.1¢	1,333.33	Jan 11
Over $15M committed to the Trove public sale?	BUY	0.3¢	333.333	Jan 11
Over $15M committed to the Trove public sale?	BUY	0.3¢	1,000	Jan 11
Over $15M committed to the Trove public sale?	SELL	99.4¢	573.72	Jan 11

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing23

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.27

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)20.9%

Win Consistency44.4%

Profit Factor0.60

Drawdown Resilience0.48

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.48

Weekly Sharpe est.0.37

Trading Activity82 trades · 17 active days

P&L Calendar

$2,6083d profit14d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue