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0xc4400b...526149

0xc4400b...526149
Smart Score
33
Win Rate
41.9%
Total P&L
+$2.2K
Trade Count
1,013
Sharpe Ratio
0.46
Sortino Ratio
7.10
Max Drawdown
545.0%
ROI
9.5%
Profit Factor
2.42
Kelly Fraction
0.246
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
033.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 5?BUY9.0¢61.11Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?SELL82.0¢473.02Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?SELL82.1¢68.46Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 4?SELL9.1¢25Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 4?SELL60.0¢8Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 4?BUY14.0¢50Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 4?BUY6.0¢16Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 3?BUY25.0¢20Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 3?BUY1.1¢87.62Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 3?BUY45.0¢10Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 3?BUY1.1¢10Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 3?BUY1.1¢2.38Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 3?BUY2.0¢74.71Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?BUY73.3¢450Mar 2
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?BUY71.0¢91.48Mar 2
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?SELL55.8¢100Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?BUY19.0¢100Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY90.8¢100Feb 28
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?BUY26.0¢100Feb 27
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?BUY78.0¢100Feb 27

Analytics

Unlock full analytics on Accrue
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%42%< 10%10%10–20%8%20–30%11%30–50%9%50–70%9%70–80%3%80–90%8%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing33.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.83
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)30.3%
Win Consistency44.1%
Profit Factor0.87
Drawdown Resilience0.70
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.70
Weekly Sharpe est.0.53
Trading Activity828 trades · 174 active days
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