0xd508d6...b3259d

Smart Score

Win Rate

17.9%

Total P&L

+$18

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

1.65

Sortino Ratio

8.09

Max Drawdown

924.8%

ROI

3.0%

Profit Factor

1.21

Kelly Fraction

0.031

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

025.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	7.3¢	35.342	Mar 5
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?	BUY	0.2¢	500	Mar 4
Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?	BUY	0.3¢	476.667	Mar 4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	7.3¢	138.678	Mar 4
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?	BUY	2.0¢	99.074	Mar 4
Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?	BUY	1.1¢	174.545	Mar 4
Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?	BUY	0.9¢	105.455	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 5?	BUY	3.6¢	74.722	Mar 4
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?	SELL	10.0¢	91.92	Mar 4
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	SELL	21.0¢	165	Mar 4
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	12.4¢	31.03	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 5?	BUY	0.4¢	830.34	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 5?	BUY	1.4¢	214.286	Mar 4
Will Strasbourg finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?	BUY	6.3¢	31.614	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 4?	BUY	22.7¢	6.916	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 4?	SELL	14.7¢	65.03	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 4?	BUY	25.5¢	21.07	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 4?	SELL	53.3¢	20.1	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 4?	SELL	48.1¢	20.1	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 4?	BUY	3.7¢	135.135	Mar 4

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing25.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.39

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.0%

Win Consistency34.1%

Profit Factor0.66

Drawdown Resilience0.53

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.53

Weekly Sharpe est.0.40

Trading Activity94 trades · 8 active days

P&L Calendar

$2412d profit6d loss