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0xd68c8c...2d1172

0xd68c8c...2d1172
Smart Score
54
Win Rate
56.3%
Total P&L
-$3
Trade Count
36
Sharpe Ratio
4.00
Sortino Ratio
13.78
Max Drawdown
39.5%
ROI
-0.3%
Profit Factor
0.72
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
053.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?BUY19.0¢26.316Mar 5
Ethereum Up or Down on March 5?BUY58.0¢8.621Mar 5
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ETBUY44.0¢2.273Mar 5
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL86.3¢225.53Mar 2
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY82.7¢91.074Mar 1
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL82.7¢7.58Mar 1
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL82.7¢5Mar 1
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL82.7¢8Mar 1
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL82.7¢3.64Mar 1
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL82.7¢5.32Mar 1
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL82.7¢16.04Mar 1
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL82.7¢8.96Mar 1
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL82.7¢6Mar 1
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL82.7¢1.65Mar 1
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL82.7¢3.35Mar 1
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY83.5¢200Mar 1
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL83.7¢200Mar 1
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY83.9¢200Mar 1
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 3?BUY61.0¢1.639Mar 1
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 3?BUY78.0¢1.282Mar 1

Analytics

Unlock full analytics on Accrue
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%11%< 10%16%10–20%5%20–30%11%30–50%16%50–70%11%70–80%16%80–90%16%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing53.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.96
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)49.0%
Win Consistency62.5%
Profit Factor1.40
Drawdown Resilience1.13
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.13
Weekly Sharpe est.0.86
Trading Activity36 trades · 4 active days
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P&L Calendar
$141d profit3d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSu