0xdf4c53...6af546

Smart Score

Win Rate

94.1%

Total P&L

+$1

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-1.23

Sortino Ratio

-0.90

Max Drawdown

2453.9%

ROI

0.2%

Profit Factor

7.06

Kelly Fraction

0.808

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

028.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on March 6?	BUY	99.9¢	47.047	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 49°F or below on March 2?	BUY	99.7¢	52.156	Mar 1
Will NVIDIA reach $272 in February?	BUY	99.9¢	30.83	Feb 26
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $320 end of February?	BUY	99.8¢	13.031	Feb 24
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,600 by end of February?	BUY	99.8¢	20.04	Feb 24
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of February?	BUY	99.8¢	23.046	Feb 24
Will Austria win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	BUY	99.9¢	21.021	Feb 10
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on February 11?	BUY	99.8¢	13.026	Feb 10
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C or below on February 11?	BUY	99.8¢	14.028	Feb 9
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 51°F or below on February 3?	BUY	99.9¢	30.03	Feb 2
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $585 end of January?	BUY	99.9¢	10.01	Jan 29
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on January 9?	BUY	99.3¢	16.113	Jan 9
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on January 9?	BUY	99.3¢	16.113	Jan 9
Will Pope Leo XIV meet with iShowSpeed in 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	55.055	Dec 31
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	29.029	Dec 30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	BUY	99.8¢	22.044	Dec 30
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	28.028	Dec 30
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	28.028	Dec 30
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of December 22 above $180?	BUY	99.9¢	1.001	Dec 26

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing28.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.57

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)26.0%

Win Consistency52.9%

Profit Factor0.74

Drawdown Resilience0.60

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.60

Weekly Sharpe est.0.46

Trading Activity19 trades · 11 active days

P&L Calendar

$4690d profit11d loss