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0xe4ff76...5c7be7

0xe4ff76...5c7be7
Smart Score
64
Win Rate
22.7%
Total P&L
+$539
Trade Count
228
Sharpe Ratio
2.21
Sortino Ratio
30.61
Max Drawdown
28.6%
ROI
38.0%
Profit Factor
3.52
Kelly Fraction
0.163
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
063.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Trump visit China by March 31?SELL46.0¢22.45Mar 5
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?BUY32.0¢34.375Mar 5
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?BUY34.0¢32.353Mar 5
Will Trump visit China by March 31?SELL45.0¢50Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY17.1¢8.596Mar 4
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?SELL9.8¢15Mar 4
Will Trump visit China by March 31?BUY45.6¢14.167Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?SELL17.0¢38Mar 4
Will Trump visit China by March 31?BUY45.5¢51.912Mar 4
Will Canada strike Iran by March 31?SELL2.0¢158.99Mar 4
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?SELL9.8¢49.98Mar 4
Will France strike Iran by March 31?SELL15.7¢37.24Mar 4
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL9.6¢100.96Mar 4
Will Trump visit China by March 31?BUY45.5¢6.374Mar 4
Trump out as President by March 31?BUY2.2¢50Mar 4
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY9.7¢55.052Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?SELL4.2¢15.38Mar 4
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?SELL10.0¢27Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY16.3¢13.476Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?SELL15.7¢52Mar 4

Analytics

Unlock full analytics on Accrue
Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%34%< 10%29%10–20%6%20–30%17%30–50%13%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Active63.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.51
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)58.1%
Win Consistency39.0%
Profit Factor1.66
Drawdown Resilience1.34
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.34
Weekly Sharpe est.1.02
Trading Activity228 trades · 9 active days
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P&L Calendar
$1483d profit6d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSu