0xe86bd5...8f9371

Smart Score

Win Rate

87.9%

Total P&L

+$3.7K

Trade Count

469

Sharpe Ratio

-0.29

Sortino Ratio

-0.31

Max Drawdown

13728.6%

ROI

3.4%

Profit Factor

2.62

Kelly Fraction

0.543

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

026.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31?	BUY	78.0¢	175.038	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	SELL	29.0¢	78.94	Mar 4
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?	BUY	96.7¢	180.692	Mar 4
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?	BUY	92.1¢	542.628	Mar 4
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	BUY	72.0¢	138.889	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	90.8¢	208.293	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	99.0¢	101.01	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	98.2¢	305.499	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	94.4¢	148.296	Mar 4
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	BUY	51.0¢	196.176	Mar 3
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	BUY	69.0¢	144.928	Mar 3
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	BUY	80.0¢	125	Mar 3
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 March 2-8?	BUY	88.1¢	113.483	Mar 3
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 2-8?	BUY	93.0¢	107.527	Mar 3
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 2-8?	BUY	82.0¢	146.341	Mar 3
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 2-8?	BUY	96.8¢	103.316	Mar 3
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 March 2-8?	BUY	95.8¢	104.384	Mar 3
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 March 2-8?	BUY	94.0¢	180.851	Mar 3
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 March 2-8?	BUY	96.9¢	206.398	Mar 3
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 4?	BUY	96.5¢	103.679	Mar 3

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing26.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.45

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.9%

Win Consistency57.5%

Profit Factor0.68

Drawdown Resilience0.55

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.55

Weekly Sharpe est.0.42

Trading Activity469 trades · 25 active days

P&L Calendar

$70,8971d profit24d loss