0xxmeng

0x85351f...10848d

Smart Score

Win Rate

58.8%

Total P&L

+$2.0K

Trade Count

1,984

Sharpe Ratio

0.56

Sortino Ratio

8.50

Max Drawdown

9149.1%

ROI

3.2%

Profit Factor

1.16

Kelly Fraction

0.079

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

026.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?	BUY	75.2¢	6.645	Mar 4
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?	BUY	74.0¢	13.514	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	SELL	99.9¢	10	Mar 4
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	33.0¢	13.65	Mar 4
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	SELL	59.1¢	34	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	SELL	12.6¢	25.79	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	SELL	84.0¢	12.65	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	SELL	98.1¢	60.91	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	98.2¢	50.916	Mar 4
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	89.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	69.0¢	7.246	Mar 4
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	27.9¢	71.589	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	70.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	78.0¢	6.41	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	70.0¢	7.143	Mar 4
Over $800K committed to the Cambria public sale?	BUY	98.5¢	10	Mar 4
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?	BUY	56.0¢	10	Mar 4
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	BUY	45.5¢	10	Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	48.0¢	10	Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	BUY	63.0¢	10	Mar 3

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing26.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.44

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.8%

Win Consistency40.0%

Profit Factor0.68

Drawdown Resilience0.55

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.55

Weekly Sharpe est.0.42

Trading Activity1,984 trades · 98 active days