345dfg

0x8417ee...ff8048
Smart Score
31
Win Rate
45.5%
Total P&L
+$1
Trade Count
28
Sharpe Ratio
1.65
Sortino Ratio
8.33
Max Drawdown
1539.2%
ROI
0.0%
Profit Factor
1.05
Kelly Fraction
0.020
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
031.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on March 5?BUY2.5¢120Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?BUY51.0¢5Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY98.9¢27.99Mar 4
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 3?BUY99.0¢27.63Mar 3
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 3?BUY2.0¢120Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY1.2¢100Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?BUY0.9¢10Mar 2
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 2?BUY1.3¢50Mar 2
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 1?BUY1.2¢100Mar 1
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?BUY4.0¢30Mar 1
US forces enter Iran by March 1?BUY1.3¢35Mar 1
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?BUY1.1¢95.94Mar 1
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?BUY1.7¢60Feb 28
Will Odessa A'zion win Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?BUY2.1¢13.86Feb 28
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on February 28?BUY2.4¢123Feb 28
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?SELL99.0¢519.3Dec 7
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?BUY97.0¢519.309Dec 7
China x Japan sever diplomatic relations in 2025?SELL97.5¢84.11Nov 30
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on November 22?BUY99.9¢421.721Nov 21
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on November 21?SELL99.8¢101.11Nov 21
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%55%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%5%50–70%70–80%80–90%41%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing31.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.72
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)28.4%
Win Consistency59.1%
Profit Factor0.81
Drawdown Resilience0.66
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.66
Weekly Sharpe est.0.50
Trading Activity28 trades · 12 active days
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