Accrue
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65a9

0x8a7cd9...8d0ff8
Smart Score
27
Win Rate
81.8%
Total P&L
+$14
Trade Count
119
Sharpe Ratio
0.02
Sortino Ratio
0.03
Max Drawdown
894.4%
ROI
0.6%
Profit Factor
3.12
Kelly Fraction
0.556
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
027.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.9¢13,162.222Mar 5
Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?BUY99.8¢1.012Mar 5
Will Salvación Nacional win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?BUY99.9¢1.021Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 5?BUY99.8¢1.202Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 5?BUY99.6¢1.225Mar 5
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.5¢3,336.33Nov 29
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.5¢10,333Nov 29
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.5¢9,330.67Nov 29
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.5¢23,000Nov 24
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?BUY99.6¢1.757Nov 24
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL99.4¢105.76Nov 24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 25?BUY99.8¢1.383Nov 24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 25?BUY99.9¢3.023Nov 24
Pistons vs. PacersBUY80.0¢1.688Nov 24
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY99.1¢105.762Oct 21
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104,000 and $106,000 on October 21?BUY99.9¢5.195Oct 21
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $104,000 on October 21?BUY99.9¢3.003Oct 21
Will Meta have the second best AI model on October 31?BUY99.9¢6.006Oct 21
Will Mistral AI have the second best AI model on October 31?BUY99.4¢2.787Oct 21
Will Bitcoin reach $200K in August?BUY99.9¢15.615Aug 23

Analytics

Unlock full analytics on Accrue
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%31%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%66%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing27.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.50
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)24.8%
Win Consistency44.1%
Profit Factor0.71
Drawdown Resilience0.57
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.57
Weekly Sharpe est.0.44
Trading Activity83 trades · 13 active days
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