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acticitygirl

acticitygirl

0x7dcf87...e959f0@acticitygi42001
Smart Score
38
Win Rate
84.7%
Total P&L
+$109
Trade Count
120
Sharpe Ratio
0.08
Sortino Ratio
0.20
Max Drawdown
501.4%
ROI
1.3%
Profit Factor
5.25
Kelly Fraction
0.686
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
037.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 6?BUY99.6¢100.402Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on March 7?BUY99.8¢100.2Mar 5
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?BUY99.4¢38.09Mar 5
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?BUY84.0¢35.714Mar 5
Trump out as President by March 31?SELL98.1¢343.55Mar 5
Trump out as President by March 31?BUY97.0¢125.113Feb 3
Trump out as President by March 31?BUY97.1¢218.439Jan 29
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?BUY98.9¢121.328Jan 29
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?BUY99.6¢120.482Jan 8
Will XRP reach $6.00 before 2026?BUY99.3¢111.237Dec 18
Bitcoin more valuable than any company in 2025?SELL99.3¢101.34Dec 18
China x Japan sever diplomatic relations in 2025?BUY98.1¢49.37Dec 3
China x Japan sever diplomatic relations in 2025?BUY98.1¢49.5Dec 3
Senate passes bill to purchase 1m Bitcoin in 2025?BUY97.8¢120Dec 3
China x Japan sever diplomatic relations in 2025?BUY98.1¢1.13Dec 2
Will Ethereum reach $4,800 in November?BUY99.8¢100.271Nov 27
Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?SELL99.2¢100.88Nov 27
Will XRP reach $3.80 in November?BUY99.8¢124.91Nov 27
Will the U.S. acquire Canadian territory in 2025?SELL99.1¢125.74Nov 27
Will the U.S. acquire Canadian territory in 2025?BUY99.1¢125.742Nov 20

Analytics

Unlock full analytics on Accrue
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%7%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%6%50–70%70–80%80–90%82%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing37.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.08
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)34.4%
Win Consistency77.8%
Profit Factor0.98
Drawdown Resilience0.79
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.79
Weekly Sharpe est.0.60
Trading Activity69 trades · 35 active days
MarAprMayJun