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ARInvest

0x4e2f17...76ac1c
Smart Score
28
Win Rate
22.9%
Total P&L
+$40
Trade Count
197
Sharpe Ratio
1.11
Sortino Ratio
166.26
Max Drawdown
1388.4%
ROI
11.8%
Profit Factor
1.67
Kelly Fraction
0.092
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
028.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY15.0¢60Mar 5
Will Andrew Tate post 160-189 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY0.6¢71.52Mar 5
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY25.0¢20Mar 4
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.4¢100Mar 4
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY10.0¢0.92Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4?BUY0.9¢100.91Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4?BUY1.1¢500Mar 4
Will Leavitt say "State of the Union" during the next White House Press Briefing?BUY0.1¢2,827Mar 4
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY24.0¢50Mar 4
Will Leavitt say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the next White House Press Briefing?BUY1.4¢100Mar 4
Will Leavitt say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the next White House Press Briefing?BUY1.0¢20Mar 4
Will Leavitt say "Supreme Court" during the next White House Press Briefing?BUY1.0¢23.72Mar 4
Will Leavitt say "Supreme Court" during the next White House Press Briefing?BUY1.0¢39.47Mar 4
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL0.4¢219.97Mar 4
Will Leavitt say "Supreme Court" during the next White House Press Briefing?BUY1.0¢36.81Mar 4
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY26.9¢4Mar 4
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY26.9¢6Mar 4
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be 35% or greater on March 31?SELL10.0¢50Mar 4
Will Andrew Tate post 160-189 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY5.1¢63.59Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 6?BUY18.0¢10Mar 4

Analytics

Unlock full analytics on Accrue
Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%77%< 10%7%10–20%12%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing28.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.56
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)25.8%
Win Consistency50.5%
Profit Factor0.74
Drawdown Resilience0.59
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.59
Weekly Sharpe est.0.45
Trading Activity197 trades · 11 active days
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P&L Calendar
$413d profit8d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSu