Accrue
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b35f

0x280a33...0cafc6
Smart Score
32
Win Rate
84.8%
Total P&L
+$178
Trade Count
194
Sharpe Ratio
-0.11
Sortino Ratio
-0.10
Max Drawdown
2029.4%
ROI
2.1%
Profit Factor
26.12
Kelly Fraction
0.816
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
032/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.9¢14,062.222Mar 5
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on March 5?BUY99.9¢1.281Mar 5
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.6¢10,599.2Nov 29
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?BUY99.9¢20.92Nov 28
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?BUY99.9¢13.013Nov 28
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on November 29?BUY99.9¢10.29Nov 28
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on November 29?BUY99.9¢20Nov 28
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.6¢9,847.77Nov 28
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.5¢43.57Nov 27
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.5¢25Nov 27
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.5¢83Nov 27
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.5¢77Nov 27
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.5¢450Nov 27
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.5¢105Nov 27
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.5¢78Nov 27
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.5¢98Nov 27
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.5¢2,000Nov 27
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.5¢1,223.96Nov 27
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.5¢64.32Nov 27
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.5¢1,873.126Nov 27

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%33%< 10%10–20%20–30%24%30–50%50–70%3%70–80%80–90%39%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing32

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.76
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)29.1%
Win Consistency41.2%
Profit Factor0.83
Drawdown Resilience0.67
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.67
Weekly Sharpe est.0.51
Trading Activity80 trades · 8 active days
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P&L Calendar
$1882d profit6d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSu<