Bannaly

0x3fe29e...c62fc3@AliciousElva
Smart Score
29
Win Rate
89.3%
Total P&L
+$31
Trade Count
77
Sharpe Ratio
-0.34
Sortino Ratio
-0.23
Max Drawdown
440.5%
ROI
0.6%
Profit Factor
3.56
Kelly Fraction
0.642
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
029.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the ECB announce no change at the March 2026 meeting?BUY98.9¢2.326Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY99.9¢40.04Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY99.9¢100.1Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY94.6¢137.391Mar 3
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 1, 2026?BUY99.6¢1.004Mar 3
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY99.2¢131.26Feb 27
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY97.8¢3.681Feb 15
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?BUY99.9¢130.13Feb 15
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?BUY99.9¢133.674Feb 10
Will the ECB announce no change at the February 2026 meeting?BUY99.8¢133.537Feb 3
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?BUY99.8¢133.277Jan 31
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?BUY44.0¢3.068Jan 28
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?BUY99.7¢130.391Jan 28
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?BUY94.6¢1.586Jan 21
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?BUY97.7¢1.024Jan 21
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?BUY99.9¢130.13Jan 21
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?BUY98.0¢1.02Jan 13
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 13, 2026?BUY98.7¢1.013Jan 13
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?BUY99.6¢1.406Jan 13
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?BUY99.8¢130.261Jan 13
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%91%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing29.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.61
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)26.6%
Win Consistency62.7%
Profit Factor0.76
Drawdown Resilience0.61
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.61
Weekly Sharpe est.0.47
Trading Activity65 trades · 43 active days
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P&L Calendar
$4,3221d profit42d loss
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