BETTERLOSER

0x2e9343...1569d5
Smart Score
26
Win Rate
81.2%
Total P&L
+$1.4K
Trade Count
1,168
Sharpe Ratio
0.15
Sortino Ratio
0.21
Max Drawdown
309.0%
ROI
3.7%
Profit Factor
2.46
Kelly Fraction
0.482
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
025.5/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on March 5?BUY10.0¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C or below on March 5?SELL99.1¢20.91Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C or below on March 5?SELL99.4¢40Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on March 5?SELL4.5¢7.47Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on March 5?SELL4.5¢16.916Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on March 5?BUY44.0¢2.273Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on March 5?BUY3.9¢25.5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 5?BUY99.8¢10.02Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on March 5?BUY10.3¢9.75Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 5?BUY99.8¢50.1Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 5?BUY99.7¢10.03Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 5?BUY99.7¢10.03Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 5?BUY99.7¢10.03Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 5?BUY99.7¢10.03Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 5?BUY99.5¢10.05Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 5?BUY99.5¢100.502Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 5?BUY99.5¢10.05Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 5?BUY99.5¢10.05Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 5?BUY99.2¢10.081Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 5?BUY99.2¢10.081Mar 5
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%4%< 10%10–20%20–30%3%30–50%5%50–70%4%70–80%5%80–90%76%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing25.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.40
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.2%
Win Consistency37.1%
Profit Factor0.66
Drawdown Resilience0.54
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.54
Weekly Sharpe est.0.41
Trading Activity1,168 trades · 109 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$30,5801d profit108d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

Unlock Full Analytics