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BlackHammer69

0x3d85c7...e46437
Smart Score
25
Win Rate
69.1%
Total P&L
+$577
Trade Count
3,999
Sharpe Ratio
0.23
Sortino Ratio
1.53
Max Drawdown
540.6%
ROI
2.5%
Profit Factor
1.57
Kelly Fraction
0.251
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
025.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?BUY95.7¢40Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?BUY95.8¢64.426Mar 5
Internet Access restored in Iran by March 7, 2026?BUY99.0¢46.02Mar 5
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?SELL95.0¢17.34Mar 5
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?BUY94.5¢105.82Mar 5
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?BUY59.0¢9.102Mar 5
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?BUY59.0¢7.661Mar 5
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?BUY90.5¢61.79Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?BUY88.0¢113.636Mar 5
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?BUY43.0¢10Mar 5
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?BUY44.0¢40.841Mar 5
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?BUY41.0¢40.341Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?SELL96.1¢29.1Mar 5
Kurds declare independence from Iran?BUY70.0¢142.857Mar 5
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?BUY83.0¢25Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL42.0¢10.08Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by February 28?SELL0.1¢48.74Mar 4
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?SELL95.1¢0.96Mar 4
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?SELL89.2¢2.02Mar 4
Iran coup attempt by June 30?BUY69.0¢47.754Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%5%10–20%4%20–30%8%30–50%13%50–70%12%70–80%14%80–90%42%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing25.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.40
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.1%
Win Consistency64.1%
Profit Factor0.66
Drawdown Resilience0.53
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.53
Weekly Sharpe est.0.41
Trading Activity3,999 trades · 57 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$4,56911d profit46d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSu