bonton

0x14ea35...0a998b
Smart Score
40
Win Rate
22.8%
Total P&L
+$204
Trade Count
474
Sharpe Ratio
0.84
Sortino Ratio
8.48
Max Drawdown
95.8%
ROI
1.1%
Profit Factor
15.11
Kelly Fraction
0.213
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
039.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?SELL3.4¢99.99Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?SELL3.3¢99.99Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?BUY6.0¢100Mar 5
Will Andrew Tate post 160-189 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY2.0¢5.09Mar 4
Will Andrew Tate post 160-189 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY2.0¢84.98Mar 4
Will Andrew Tate post 160-189 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY2.0¢17.66Mar 4
Will Andrew Tate post 160-189 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY2.0¢26Mar 4
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?SELL33.0¢25.95Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?BUY7.0¢100Mar 4
Will Andrew Tate post 160-189 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY5.0¢100Mar 4
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY5.0¢100Mar 4
Will Andrew Tate post 190-219 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY0.5¢15.327Mar 4
Will Andrew Tate post 190-219 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY0.5¢74.67Mar 4
Will Andrew Tate post 190-219 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY0.5¢110Mar 4
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY15.0¢100Mar 4
Will Andrew Tate post 160-189 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL28.4¢100.01Mar 4
Will Andrew Tate post 160-189 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL26.0¢34.79Mar 4
Will Andrew Tate post 160-189 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL26.0¢8.771Mar 4
Will Andrew Tate post 160-189 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL26.0¢56.422Mar 4
Will Andrew Tate post 160-189 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY5.2¢100Mar 4
Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%59%< 10%8%10–20%20–30%5%30–50%26%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing39.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.19
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)36.2%
Win Consistency45.8%
Profit Factor1.03
Drawdown Resilience0.84
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.84
Weekly Sharpe est.0.64
Trading Activity474 trades · 39 active days
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P&L Calendar
+$1317d profit22d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSu