CaiusMercer

0x7c73f7...3f13cf@thblu97642159

Smart Score

Win Rate

93.4%

Total P&L

-$28

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.29

Sortino Ratio

-0.17

Max Drawdown

15900.0%

ROI

-1.7%

Profit Factor

0.25

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	99.6¢	56.225	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on March 3?	BUY	99.9¢	56.056	Mar 3
Will the US next strike Iran on February 15, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	99.9¢	54.044	Feb 15
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?	BUY	99.7¢	52.979	Feb 9
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	BUY	99.7¢	2.006	Feb 9
Will the US next strike Iran on February 9, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	98.0¢	1.02	Feb 9
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	55.812	Feb 2
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in January?	BUY	99.9¢	54.054	Jan 29
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?	BUY	99.1¢	50.454	Jan 11
Will the highest temperature in London be 3°C on January 11?	BUY	99.8¢	3.006	Jan 11
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	BUY	99.8¢	1.002	Jan 11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 11?	BUY	99.9¢	1.001	Jan 11
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?	BUY	99.1¢	29.263	Dec 28
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?	BUY	99.8¢	28.056	Dec 18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 18?	BUY	99.5¢	1.005	Dec 18
Will Z.ai have the top AI model on December 31?	BUY	99.9¢	1.001	Dec 18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	BUY	97.2¢	1.029	Dec 18
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31?	BUY	99.6¢	2.008	Dec 18
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?	BUY	99.8¢	30.09	Dec 9
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 9?	BUY	99.3¢	1.007	Dec 9

Analytics

Unlock full analytics on Accrue

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency67.1%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity61 trades · 23 active days