Calenor

0xa58e5d...3a683a
Smart Score
54
Win Rate
79.5%
Total P&L
+$15.7K
Trade Count
50
Sharpe Ratio
0.23
Sortino Ratio
374.06
Max Drawdown
224.5%
ROI
11.0%
Profit Factor
21.48
Kelly Fraction
0.758
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
053.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?BUY99.4¢3.622Dec 2
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?BUY99.4¢94.567Dec 2
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?BUY99.5¢38.894Nov 4
Will XRP dip to $1.50 in October?BUY99.7¢5.015Oct 4
Will Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?BUY99.9¢5.105Oct 4
Cardinals vs. SaintsBUY73.0¢5.63Sep 7
Will Pedro Passos Coelho win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?BUY99.8¢5.21Sep 7
Will 'Superman' have the second best domestic opening weekend in 2025?BUY99.7¢6Aug 19
Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in August?BUY99.8¢5.84Aug 19
Will FIT-U win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?BUY99.6¢2.912Jul 29
Will global temperature increase by less than 0.90ºC in July 2025?BUY99.9¢3.603Jul 29
Will Mercedes be the 2025 Constructors Champion?BUY99.6¢4.217Jul 29
Will LeBron James be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?BUY99.5¢4.221Jul 17
Will The Last of Us win the Emmy for Outstanding Drama Series?BUY99.4¢6.338Jul 17
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.0% or less in July?BUY99.1¢5.853Jul 17
Will Danny Faure win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?BUY99.4¢6.539Jul 7
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?BUY99.8¢3.006Jun 30
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?BUY99.7¢3.912Jun 30
Will another company be the largest in the world by market cap on June 30?BUY99.8¢6.212Jun 20
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be less than 2%?BUY99.6¢5.02Jun 20
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%7%30–50%9%50–70%70–80%80–90%77%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing53.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.96
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)49.0%
Win Consistency72.7%
Profit Factor1.40
Drawdown Resilience1.13
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.13
Weekly Sharpe est.0.86
Trading Activity50 trades · 13 active days
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