Capri.Money

0x861b2e...f4d8ca
Smart Score
12
Win Rate
25.3%
Total P&L
-$1.9K
Trade Count
139
Sharpe Ratio
1.20
Sortino Ratio
50.52
Max Drawdown
83.1%
ROI
-21.2%
Profit Factor
0.43
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
012.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?SELL14.6¢371.75Mar 5
Will the fight be won by submission?BUY34.5¢63.533Mar 3
UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card)BUY31.9¢313.733Mar 2
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY17.1¢371.754Mar 2
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30?BUY5.2¢963.725Mar 1
Will Russia enter Kherson by June 30?BUY6.0¢833.333Mar 1
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY36.5¢266.823Mar 1
UFC Fight Night: Brandon Moreno vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)SELL99.9¢197.48Mar 1
UFC Fight Night: Brandon Moreno vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)BUY37.0¢86.405Feb 28
UFC Fight Night: King Green vs. Daniel Zellhuber (Lightweight, Main Card)SELL99.9¢32Feb 28
UFC Fight Night: Brandon Moreno vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)BUY36.0¢111.083Feb 28
UFC Fight Night: King Green vs. Daniel Zellhuber (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY25.0¢32Feb 28
Will Russia enter Bilytske by February 28?BUY8.4¢1,196.257Feb 26
Will Russia enter Bilytske by February 28?BUY5.9¢1,125.903Feb 25
UFC Fight Night: Josiah Harrell vs. Jacobe Smith (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY26.5¢454.291Feb 21
UFC Fight Night: Juliana Miller vs. Carli Judice (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)BUY5.0¢340Feb 21
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ETBUY16.4¢224.184Feb 19
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 8PM ETBUY54.3¢184.236Feb 19
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ETBUY37.8¢425.644Feb 15
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ETBUY2.0¢0.69Feb 15
Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%31%< 10%15%10–20%16%20–30%26%30–50%11%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing12.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.67
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)11.1%
Win Consistency63.2%
Profit Factor0.32
Drawdown Resilience0.26
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.26
Weekly Sharpe est.0.20
Trading Activity139 trades · 24 active days
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