cdbaba

0x21ba7e...e34372

Smart Score

Win Rate

77.8%

Total P&L

+$4.4K

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

3.97

Sortino Ratio

7.91

Max Drawdown

55.3%

ROI

8.1%

Profit Factor

7.70

Kelly Fraction

0.677

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

079.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?	BUY	16.4¢	915.383	Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	56.9¢	879.123	Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?	BUY	22.8¢	876.416	Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026?	SELL	98.0¢	1,002.82	Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026?	SELL	98.0¢	269.5	Mar 4
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	32.0¢	2,533	Mar 4
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	32.0¢	3,467	Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?	SELL	96.8¢	448.08	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	SELL	74.9¢	1,821.85	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	74.0¢	3,597.73	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	58.2¢	1,719.08	Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	53.2¢	1,878.653	Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	BUY	54.9¢	1,821.803	Mar 3
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?	BUY	85.0¢	2,352.941	Mar 3
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	40.1¢	2,431.91	Mar 3
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	61.1¢	3,586.81	Mar 3
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	65.0¢	3,586.8	Mar 2
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	SELL	67.0¢	43.48	Mar 2
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	65.0¢	1,285.79	Mar 2
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	65.0¢	60	Mar 2

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Pro79.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)4.35

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)72.0%

Win Consistency79.0%

Profit Factor2.06

Drawdown Resilience1.66

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.66

Weekly Sharpe est.1.27

Trading Activity67 trades · 11 active days

P&L Calendar

$7,6213d profit8d loss