CeasefireLover

0x847667...125418

Smart Score

Win Rate

85.2%

Total P&L

+$117.8K

Trade Count

996

Sharpe Ratio

0.58

Sortino Ratio

10.82

Max Drawdown

8951.2%

ROI

8.3%

Profit Factor

11.20

Kelly Fraction

0.776

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

056/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	SELL	83.9¢	1,116.3	Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	91.0¢	2,261.47	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	SELL	83.6¢	3.313	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	SELL	83.6¢	9.47	Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	91.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	91.0¢	26.516	Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	91.0¢	5.495	Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	91.0¢	1.143	Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	91.0¢	5.495	Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	91.0¢	484.54	Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	91.0¢	29.49	Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	91.0¢	3.22	Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	91.0¢	3.9	Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	91.0¢	3.27	Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	91.0¢	1.5	Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	91.0¢	9.75	Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	91.0¢	1.8	Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	91.0¢	21.66	Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	91.0¢	1.099	Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	91.0¢	1.538	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active56

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.08

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)51.0%

Win Consistency73.1%

Profit Factor1.46

Drawdown Resilience1.18

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.18

Weekly Sharpe est.0.90

Trading Activity996 trades · 67 active days