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Citlali

Citlali

0xa4d05f...5ead4d
Smart Score
51
Win Rate
51.0%
Total P&L
+$1.7K
Trade Count
307
Sharpe Ratio
1.91
Sortino Ratio
41.70
Max Drawdown
412.9%
ROI
3.3%
Profit Factor
4.79
Kelly Fraction
0.404
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
050.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETBUY95.0¢5.263Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?BUY32.0¢62.5Mar 5
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?SELL33.0¢160.08Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY17.2¢58.265Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY16.5¢242.981Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY17.0¢234.796Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL13.9¢1,775.16Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL13.9¢102.641Mar 4
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?SELL46.0¢48.78Mar 4
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?BUY41.0¢24.39Mar 4
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?BUY41.0¢24.39Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 4?SELL99.8¢440.15Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 4?SELL99.8¢39.128Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on March 5?BUY34.1¢14.657Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 4?BUY70.0¢11.02Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 4?BUY70.0¢18.98Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 4?BUY70.0¢88.98Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 4?BUY88.0¢11.364Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 4?BUY80.0¢3.63Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 4?BUY80.0¢55.65Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%15%< 10%21%10–20%12%20–30%7%30–50%6%50–70%4%70–80%8%80–90%27%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing50.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.78
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)46.1%
Win Consistency46.5%
Profit Factor1.32
Drawdown Resilience1.06
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.06
Weekly Sharpe est.0.81
Trading Activity307 trades · 17 active days
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