Convertiblenashi

0x65ece9...5ead9f
Smart Score
30
Win Rate
96.3%
Total P&L
+$5
Trade Count
54
Sharpe Ratio
-0.31
Sortino Ratio
-0.17
Max Drawdown
11925.0%
ROI
0.1%
Profit Factor
3.18
Kelly Fraction
0.660
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
029.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on March 6?BUY99.9¢111.121Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $78,000 on March 4?BUY99.9¢112.172Mar 3
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,400 on March 1?BUY99.8¢110.912Feb 27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 27?BUY99.9¢109.539Feb 25
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on February 25?BUY99.6¢110.602Feb 22
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,500 on February 22?BUY99.9¢106.726Feb 20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 20?BUY99.9¢108.918Feb 19
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on February 18?BUY99.9¢109.959Feb 16
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on February 16?BUY99.9¢110.99Feb 15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 15?BUY99.9¢109.739Feb 13
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on February 13?BUY99.9¢110.781Feb 11
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on February 11?BUY99.9¢106.116Feb 9
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on February 8?BUY99.9¢108.288Feb 6
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on February 6?BUY99.8¢107.054Feb 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on February 2?BUY99.8¢104.579Feb 1
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 30?BUY99.8¢106.854Jan 28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on January 28?BUY99.9¢103.313Jan 27
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,500 and $3,600 on January 26?BUY99.9¢102.102Jan 25
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3,800 on January 24?BUY99.9¢103.123Jan 21
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? BUY99.1¢2.159Jan 20
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%98%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing29.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.64
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)27.2%
Win Consistency66.7%
Profit Factor0.78
Drawdown Resilience0.63
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.63
Weekly Sharpe est.0.48
Trading Activity54 trades · 50 active days
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