FaucetWiki

0x8aaca4...0c0e7a
Smart Score
21
Win Rate
40.5%
Total P&L
-$7.7K
Trade Count
3,999
Sharpe Ratio
0.35
Sortino Ratio
3.91
Max Drawdown
239.8%
ROI
-3.0%
Profit Factor
0.70
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
021.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?SELL80.0¢8Mar 4
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?SELL50.1¢55.5Mar 4
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?SELL52.0¢0.55Mar 4
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?SELL29.0¢42Mar 4
Will Anyone's Legend win the LPL 2026 Split 1 playoffs?SELL73.6¢135.43Mar 4
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?SELL14.0¢39Mar 4
Will Frankenstein win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL98.5¢225.65Mar 4
Will JD Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?SELL14.3¢12.46Mar 4
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL93.8¢76.22Mar 4
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL66.5¢232.9Mar 4
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?SELL87.0¢102.19Mar 4
Will Trần Thanh Mẫn be the next President of Vietnam?SELL89.2¢4.62Mar 4
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?SELL14.0¢2.1Mar 4
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by March 31? SELL96.8¢2.44Mar 4
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL92.4¢11.22Mar 4
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL92.7¢6.92Mar 4
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL92.6¢21.16Mar 4
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL92.7¢7.72Mar 4
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL92.8¢6.94Mar 4
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL92.7¢118Mar 4
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%21%< 10%12%10–20%10%20–30%12%30–50%18%50–70%11%70–80%7%80–90%9%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing21.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.18
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)19.5%
Win Consistency50.3%
Profit Factor0.56
Drawdown Resilience0.45
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.45
Weekly Sharpe est.0.34
Trading Activity3,999 trades · 65 active days
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