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fcgt

0x1bbbc9...d4d8d7
Smart Score
8
Win Rate
38.9%
Total P&L
-$3
Trade Count
59
Sharpe Ratio
0.03
Sortino Ratio
0.07
Max Drawdown
8832.8%
ROI
-0.7%
Profit Factor
0.93
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
07.5/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?BUY3.3¢29.986Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?BUY50.0¢2Mar 5
Will Mark Byington win the Men's 2026 Naismith Coach of the Year award?BUY84.0¢1.19Mar 5
Will Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) beat quarterly earnings?BUY11.0¢9.091Feb 5
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?BUY86.0¢1.163Feb 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?BUY74.0¢1.351Feb 5
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?BUY18.6¢5.376Jan 9
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY84.0¢1.19Jan 9
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 10?BUY94.0¢1.064Jan 9
Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?BUY90.1¢1.11Jan 9
Will Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) beat quarterly earnings?BUY93.0¢1.075Jan 9
Hornets vs. RaptorsBUY74.0¢1.351Dec 5
Jazz vs. KnicksBUY89.0¢2.247Dec 5
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?BUY44.0¢2.273Dec 5
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?BUY84.4¢1.185Dec 5
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?BUY2.9¢34.183Nov 15
Will José Antonio Kast come in fourth in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?BUY99.1¢1.009Nov 15
Will Home Depot (HD) beat quarterly earnings?BUY65.0¢1.538Nov 15
Will AECOM (ACM) beat quarterly earnings?BUY90.0¢1.111Nov 15
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 43.5% and 43.9% on October 3?BUY36.0¢2.778Sep 28

Analytics

Unlock full analytics on Accrue
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%13%< 10%6%10–20%8%20–30%11%30–50%25%50–70%8%70–80%13%80–90%17%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing7.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.41
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)6.8%
Win Consistency40.4%
Profit Factor0.20
Drawdown Resilience0.16
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.16
Weekly Sharpe est.0.12
Trading Activity23 trades · 6 active days
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