Accrue
Log inGet Access

Firruil

0xa0bbf5...7ff0f8
Smart Score
72
Win Rate
35.0%
Total P&L
+$82
Trade Count
24
Sharpe Ratio
1.05
Sortino Ratio
30.88
Max Drawdown
0.0%
ROI
209.8%
Profit Factor
5.00
Kelly Fraction
0.280
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
072.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETSELL99.1¢1.01Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETBUY1.0¢100Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETBUY99.0¢1.01Mar 5
New 10% US blanket tariff goes into effect by February 28?BUY3.7¢8.96Feb 22
New 10% US blanket tariff goes into effect by February 28?BUY3.7¢1.038Feb 22
Will Trump say "TikTok" this week? (March 1)BUY37.0¢2.703Feb 22
Will Trump say "Fight Fight Fight" this week? (March 1)BUY31.0¢3.226Feb 22
Will Trump say "Sick person" this week? (February 22)BUY37.0¢2.703Feb 20
Will Trump say “Crazy Bernie” by February 28?BUY71.0¢2.817Feb 20
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?BUY12.0¢8.333Feb 20
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY74.0¢1.351Feb 19
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?BUY70.0¢2.857Feb 19
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY5.2¢19.231Feb 19
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?BUY97.5¢3.077Feb 19
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?BUY82.0¢3.659Feb 19
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?BUY73.0¢2.74Feb 19
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?BUY69.0¢2.899Feb 19
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?BUY70.0¢2.857Feb 19
Will Starmer say "Restore Britain" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?BUY83.0¢3.614Feb 19
Will Trump say "Please" or "Thank" 20+ times during Board of Peace events on February 19?BUY82.0¢2.439Feb 19

Analytics

Unlock full analytics on Accrue
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%17%< 10%4%10–20%20–30%30%30–50%9%50–70%17%70–80%13%80–90%9%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Active72.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.98
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)65.8%
Win Consistency38.1%
Profit Factor1.88
Drawdown Resilience1.52
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.52
Weekly Sharpe est.1.16
Trading Activity24 trades · 4 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSu