Accrue
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kilback

0x80663a...20ef0f
Smart Score
21
Win Rate
54.5%
Total P&L
+$23
Trade Count
23
Sharpe Ratio
1.24
Sortino Ratio
2.38
Max Drawdown
121.1%
ROI
14.1%
Profit Factor
1.39
Kelly Fraction
0.154
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
020.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 5?BUY47.2¢14.534Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 6?BUY61.3¢18.101Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 6?BUY38.8¢6.237Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2PM ETBUY50.0¢8.12Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 6?BUY59.5¢23.445Mar 4
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 4?BUY57.0¢10.702Mar 4
Predators vs. Blue JacketsBUY45.0¢5.244Mar 3
Celtics vs. BucksBUY57.0¢15.737Mar 2
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 3PM ETBUY50.0¢14.56Feb 23
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on February 24?BUY39.0¢17Feb 23
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on February 23?BUY34.0¢16.912Feb 23
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 23?BUY40.0¢12.6Feb 23
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on February 23?BUY52.0¢24.25Feb 23
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?BUY48.0¢14.771Feb 22
Celtics vs. LakersBUY48.0¢23.708Feb 22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 22?BUY33.0¢11.333Feb 21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 19?BUY44.0¢6.75Feb 19
Rockets vs. HornetsBUY63.0¢15.079Feb 19
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on February 18?BUY28.0¢15.107Feb 18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 18?BUY66.0¢14.712Feb 18

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%4%20–30%57%30–50%39%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing20.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.14
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)18.8%
Win Consistency39.1%
Profit Factor0.54
Drawdown Resilience0.43
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.43
Weekly Sharpe est.0.33
Trading Activity23 trades · 11 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMo