Lavenderaccord

0x8489b4...5e582f

Smart Score

Win Rate

76.9%

Total P&L

+$74

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.26

Sortino Ratio

-0.31

Max Drawdown

120.2%

ROI

2.6%

Profit Factor

4.59

Kelly Fraction

0.602

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

022.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Utah vs. Flyers	BUY	55.0¢	33.855	Mar 5
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	66.0¢	41.483	Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on February 19?	BUY	50.0¢	26.52	Feb 18
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on February 10?	BUY	62.0¢	45.016	Feb 10
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. West Virginia Mountaineers	BUY	69.0¢	23.638	Feb 8
Ethereum Up or Down - January 26, 10PM ET	BUY	51.0¢	9.85	Jan 26
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on January 20?	BUY	77.7¢	13.82	Jan 18
Will Alaves win the 2025–26 La Liga?	SELL	99.8¢	641.74	Jan 14
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	99.5¢	659.33	Jan 14
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	99.6¢	659.33	Jan 14
Will Alaves win the 2025–26 La Liga?	BUY	99.9¢	641.74	Jan 14
Will Erin Doherty (Adolescence) win Best Supporting Actress – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?	BUY	59.0¢	26.48	Jan 8
Ducks vs. Penguins	BUY	48.0¢	33.292	Dec 8
Kings vs. Jazz	BUY	49.0¢	40.061	Nov 27
Warriors vs. Heat	BUY	68.0¢	21.191	Nov 19

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing22.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.25

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)20.8%

Win Consistency30.8%

Profit Factor0.59

Drawdown Resilience0.48

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.48

Weekly Sharpe est.0.36

Trading Activity15 trades · 12 active days

P&L Calendar

$1860d profit12d loss