Livelime

0x58771a...5b34fa

Smart Score

Win Rate

52.6%

Total P&L

-$251

Trade Count

168

Sharpe Ratio

0.81

Sortino Ratio

2.70

Max Drawdown

2320.7%

ROI

-11.5%

Profit Factor

0.63

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

019.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the Florida Panthers make the NHL Playoffs?	SELL	95.0¢	6.25	Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?	SELL	83.0¢	8.06	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?	SELL	4.4¢	87.17	Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	SELL	71.0¢	4.91	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?	SELL	98.7¢	40.66	Mar 3
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?	BUY	98.4¢	40.661	Mar 3
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?	BUY	82.0¢	48.78	Mar 3
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?	BUY	82.0¢	24.39	Mar 3
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?	BUY	29.0¢	68.966	Mar 3
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?	BUY	5.7¢	87.172	Mar 3
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?	BUY	53.0¢	3.774	Mar 3
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?	BUY	90.0¢	6.667	Mar 3
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?	BUY	62.0¢	8.065	Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	60.0¢	33.333	Mar 3
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?	SELL	59.1¢	5.1	Mar 2
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	SELL	20.0¢	9.09	Mar 2
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 1?	BUY	88.0¢	2.273	Mar 1
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?	BUY	66.0¢	15.152	Feb 28
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?	BUY	58.8¢	5.102	Feb 28
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 7th?	SELL	40.0¢	31.25	Feb 28

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing19.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.07

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)17.6%

Win Consistency47.9%

Profit Factor0.50

Drawdown Resilience0.41

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.41

Weekly Sharpe est.0.31

Trading Activity168 trades · 17 active days