Naominan

0x90cb92...057274

Smart Score

Win Rate

86.8%

Total P&L

-$238

Trade Count

412

Sharpe Ratio

-0.35

Sortino Ratio

-0.25

Max Drawdown

86.9%

ROI

-0.6%

Profit Factor

0.53

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

010.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	BUY	98.8¢	30.92	Mar 5
StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	BUY	97.1¢	95.77	Mar 5
Will BNB dip to $400 in March?	BUY	95.9¢	100	Mar 5
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?	BUY	98.9¢	130	Mar 5
Will Solana dip to $30 in March?	BUY	99.6¢	100	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in March?	BUY	99.3¢	125	Mar 4
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.5¢	120	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?	SELL	98.2¢	109	Feb 14
EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?	SELL	97.0¢	55.55	Feb 14
EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?	SELL	97.0¢	34.441	Feb 14
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?	SELL	96.6¢	90	Feb 14
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	93.0¢	18.75	Feb 12
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	93.0¢	91.248	Feb 12
Gensyn FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	SELL	98.5¢	46.59	Feb 4
Gensyn FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	SELL	98.5¢	43.41	Feb 4
Aztec FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	SELL	98.4¢	100	Feb 4
Gensyn FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	BUY	98.4¢	90	Feb 4
Aztec FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	BUY	98.3¢	100	Feb 4
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?	BUY	96.5¢	90	Feb 4
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?	BUY	98.1¢	109	Feb 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing10.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.58

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)9.7%

Win Consistency51.2%

Profit Factor0.28

Drawdown Resilience0.22

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.22

Weekly Sharpe est.0.17

Trading Activity412 trades · 60 active days