Nbenlll

0x98d5bc...2081fa

Smart Score

Win Rate

83.3%

Total P&L

-$21

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.53

Sortino Ratio

-0.32

Max Drawdown

225.1%

ROI

-0.1%

Profit Factor

-0.43

Kelly Fraction

1.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Internet Access restored in Iran by March 7, 2026?	BUY	99.2¢	5.04	Mar 5
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut on March 5, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	5.005	Mar 5
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 2?	BUY	99.7¢	5.015	Mar 5
Will Iran strike UAE in March?	BUY	99.5¢	5.025	Mar 5
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?	BUY	98.7¢	5.066	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	98.4¢	5.081	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	99.2¢	5.04	Mar 5
Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	BUY	99.9¢	5.005	Feb 18
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $190 by end of February?	BUY	99.8¢	5.01	Feb 18
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of February 16 above $20?	BUY	99.8¢	5.01	Feb 18
Will DtMF - Bad Bunny be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?	BUY	99.9¢	5.005	Feb 12
Will Artemis II launch by February 28?	BUY	99.5¢	5.027	Feb 12
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 12 be less than 1,600,000?	BUY	99.9¢	5.005	Feb 12
Will The Weeknd have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	BUY	99.7¢	5.015	Feb 12
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	BUY	99.8¢	5.01	Feb 12
Will Claude 5 be released on February 14, 2026?	BUY	99.2¢	5.04	Feb 12
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 2, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	5.005	Feb 3
Will the US strike Cuba next?	BUY	99.6¢	5.02	Feb 3
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	BUY	99.5¢	5.025	Feb 3
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	BUY	99.1¢	5.045	Feb 3

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.03

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.5%

Win Consistency64.5%

Profit Factor0.02

Drawdown Resilience0.01

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.01

Weekly Sharpe est.0.01

Trading Activity98 trades · 18 active days