nbu002t0

0x6aa7b5...32c364

Smart Score

Win Rate

74.4%

Total P&L

-$5

Trade Count

476

Sharpe Ratio

-0.54

Sortino Ratio

-0.74

Max Drawdown

1512.5%

ROI

-0.0%

Profit Factor

1.62

Kelly Fraction

0.284

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

012.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	SELL	97.5¢	36.47	Mar 5
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	BUY	97.4¢	18.29	Mar 4
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	BUY	97.4¢	18.18	Mar 4
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series?	SELL	95.5¢	38.34	Mar 3
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series?	BUY	95.5¢	38.34	Mar 3
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	91.4¢	38.64	Mar 3
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	91.5¢	38.64	Mar 3
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	SELL	96.8¢	40.01	Mar 2
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	BUY	96.9¢	40.01	Mar 2
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	SELL	94.5¢	32.9	Feb 28
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	94.7¢	32.91	Feb 28
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	97.7¢	40.22	Feb 28
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	97.8¢	40.22	Feb 28
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	SELL	95.5¢	31.42	Feb 28
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	BUY	95.8¢	31.42	Feb 28
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	SELL	96.9¢	34.42	Feb 28
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY	97.0¢	34.42	Feb 28
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	SELL	96.2¢	41.5	Feb 28
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	BUY	96.4¢	41.5	Feb 28
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?	SELL	95.2¢	35.75	Feb 26

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing12.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.70

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)11.6%

Win Consistency38.5%

Profit Factor0.33

Drawdown Resilience0.27

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.27

Weekly Sharpe est.0.20

Trading Activity476 trades · 30 active days