nct6tg1y

0x193bd1...14c2d2

Smart Score

Win Rate

83.7%

Total P&L

-$8

Trade Count

539

Sharpe Ratio

0.32

Sortino Ratio

0.50

Max Drawdown

400.0%

ROI

-0.0%

Profit Factor

8.17

Kelly Fraction

0.735

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

034/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	97.4¢	55.73	Mar 5
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	SELL	97.0¢	43.53	Mar 5
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	BUY	97.6¢	43.52	Mar 4
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	SELL	96.4¢	52.03	Mar 4
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	BUY	96.7¢	24.4	Mar 4
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	BUY	96.7¢	27.63	Mar 4
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	96.7¢	56.03	Mar 4
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	96.9¢	56.03	Mar 4
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	SELL	90.5¢	58.64	Mar 4
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	BUY	91.3¢	58.64	Mar 3
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?	SELL	94.6¢	55.62	Mar 3
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?	BUY	94.8¢	55.62	Mar 3
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	97.1¢	56.01	Mar 3
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	97.2¢	56.01	Mar 3
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	SELL	96.4¢	52.82	Feb 28
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	BUY	96.6¢	52.82	Feb 28
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	SELL	97.4¢	52.88	Feb 28
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	BUY	97.5¢	52.88	Feb 28
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	SELL	96.4¢	47.67	Feb 28
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	BUY	96.6¢	47.67	Feb 28

Analytics

Unlock full analytics on Accrue

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing34

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.87

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)30.9%

Win Consistency38.9%

Profit Factor0.88

Drawdown Resilience0.71

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.71

Weekly Sharpe est.0.54

Trading Activity539 trades · 35 active days